(Now updated with the actual winners highlighted.)
Need last-minute ideas for your Oscar pool? Here are my predictions and my estimation of each movie's odds in their categories, if you find yourself struggling. Feel free to add your own predictions in the comments!
PICTURE
1. The Artist (WINNER)
2. The Descendants
3. Hugo
4. The Help
5. Moneyball
6. Midnight in Paris
7. The Tree of Life
8. Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
9. War Horse
DIRECTOR
1. Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist) (WINNER)
2. Martin Scorsese (Hugo)
3. Woody Allen (Midnight in Paris)
4. Terrence Malick (The Tree of Life)
5. Alexander Payne (The Descendants)
ACTOR
1. George Clooney (The Descendants)
2. Jean Dujardin (The Artist) (WINNER)
3. Brad Pitt (Moneyball)
4. Gary Oldman (Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy)
5. Demian Bichir (A Better Life)
ACTRESS
1. Viola Davis (The Help)
2. Meryl Streep (The Iron Lady) (WINNER)
3. Glenn Close (Albert Nobbs)
4. Michelle Williams (My Week with Marilyn)
5. Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)
SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Christopher Plummer (Beginners) (WINNER)
2. Max von Sydow (Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close)
3. Kenneth Branagh (My Week with Marilyn)
4. Jonah Hill (Moneyball)
5. Nick Nolte (Warrior)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Octavia Spencer (The Help) (WINNER)
2. Melissa McCarthy (Bridesmaids)
3. Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs)
4. Berenice Bejo (The Artist)
5. Jessica Chastain (The Help)
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Midnight in Paris (WINNER)
2. A Separation
3. Bridesmaids
4. The Artist
5. Margin Call
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. The Descendants (WINNER)
2. Moneyball
3. Hugo
4. The Ides of March
5. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
ANIMATED FEATURE
1. Rango (WINNER)
2. Chico & Rita
3. A Cat in Paris
4. Kung Fu Panda 2
5. Puss in Boots
ART DIRECTION
1. Hugo (WINNER)
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
3. The Artist
4. War Horse
5. Midnight in Paris
CINEMATOGRAPHY
1. The Tree of Life
2. War Horse
3. Hugo (WINNER)
4. The Artist
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
COSTUME DESIGN
1. The Artist (WINNER)
2. Hugo
3. Anonymous
4. Jane Eyre
5. W./E.
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
1. Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
2. If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front
3. Pina
4. Hell and Back Again
5. Undefeated (WINNER)
EDITING
1. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (WINNER)
2. The Artist
3. Moneyball
4. Hugo
5. The Descendants
FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
1. A Separation (WINNER)
2. In Darkness
3. Bullhead
4. Footnote
5. Monsieur Lazhar
MAKEUP
1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
2. The Iron Lady (WINNER)
3. Albert Nobbs
SCORE
1. The Artist (WINNER)
2. War Horse
3. Hugo
4. The Adventures of Tintin
5. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
SONG
1. “Man or Muppet” (The Muppets) (WINNER)
2. “Real in Rio” (Rio)
SHORT (ANIMATED)
1. The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore (WINNER)
2. La Luna
3. A Morning Stroll
4. Wild Life
5. Dimanche (Sunday)
SHORT (DOCUMENTARY)
1. The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom
2. Saving Face (WINNER)
3. God is the Bigger Elvis
4. Incident in New Baghdad
5. The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Movement
SHORT (LIVE-ACTION)
1. Tuba Atlantic
2. The Shore (WINNER)
3. Raju
4. Time Freak
5. Pentecost
SOUND EDITING
1. Hugo (WINNER)
2. War Horse
3. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
4. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
5. Drive
SOUND MIXING
1. Hugo (WINNER)
2. Moneyball
3. War Horse
4. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
5. The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
VISUAL EFFECTS
1. Rise of the Planet of the Apes
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
3. Transformers: Dark of the Moon
4. Hugo (WINNER)
5. Real Steel
In summation, my predictions for the 84th Annual Academy Awards:
PICTURE: The Artist
DIRECTOR: Michel Hazanavicius
ACTOR: George Clooney (The Descendants)
ACTRESS: Viola Davis (The Help)
SUPPORTING ACTOR: Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Octavia Spencer (The Help)
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: Midnight in Paris
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: The Descendants
ANIMATED: Rango
ART DIRECTION: Hugo
CINEMATOGRAPHY: The Tree of Life
COSTUME DESIGN: The Artist
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
EDITING: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM: A Separation
MAKEUP: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
SCORE: The Artist
SONG: "Man or Muppet" (The Muppets)
SHORT (ANIMATED): The Fantastic Flying Books of...
SHORT (DOCUMENTARY): The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom
SHORT (LIVE ACTION): Tuba Atlantic
SOUND EDITING: Hugo
SOUND MIXING: Hugo
VISUAL EFFECTS: Rise of the Planet of the Apes
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